Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.242635 0.280135 0.321306 0.369834 0.425447 0.487163 0.560830
2024-10-27 0.181629 0.229772 0.287389 0.361325 0.453591 0.564847 0.709121
2024-11-03 0.147898 0.203392 0.275236 0.374809 0.508998 0.683321 0.926762
2024-11-10 0.122950 0.182708 0.265902 0.389695 0.568711 0.817639 1.189510
2024-11-17 0.099815 0.159504 0.248442 0.389832 0.608114 0.931320 1.445063
2024-11-24 0.081746 0.139823 0.232024 0.387907 0.643601 1.044802 1.720002
2024-12-01 0.068078 0.124109 0.218491 0.387484 0.680729 1.166200 2.027419
2024-12-08 0.057788 0.111847 0.208107 0.389950 0.722460 1.301013 2.378633
2024-12-15 0.050529 0.103445 0.202691 0.399788 0.778179 1.467638 2.811063
2024-12-22 0.043202 0.093339 0.192163 0.398018 0.811974 1.599978 3.202389
2024-12-29 0.038373 0.087207 0.188048 0.407692 0.868877 1.783229 3.717673
2025-01-05 0.032963 0.078693 0.177501 0.402233 0.894241 1.908743 4.138487
2025-01-12 0.029352 0.073524 0.173262 0.409852 0.949219 2.104352 4.738284
2025-01-19 0.024955 0.065583 0.161434 0.398508 0.961116 2.212060 5.169919
2025-01-26 0.022773 0.062584 0.160422 0.411980 1.031558 2.457717 5.944642
2025-02-02 0.020948 0.060108 0.160202 0.427342 1.109170 2.731497 6.826932
2025-02-09 0.018563 0.055610 0.154089 0.426848 1.148076 2.921402 7.541798
2025-02-16 0.016421 0.051308 0.147653 0.424311 1.181402 3.103031 8.265291
2025-02-23 0.014640 0.047652 0.142253 0.423556 1.219289 3.301782 9.063112
2025-03-02 0.013203 0.044708 0.138279 0.426045 1.266435 3.531436 9.976924
2025-03-09 0.012191 0.042874 0.137170 0.436625 1.338100 3.836552 11.139126
2025-03-16 0.010927 0.039923 0.132145 0.434603 1.373219 4.048271 12.078656
2025-03-23 0.010136 0.038393 0.131225 0.445074 1.447297 4.379535 13.405300